Valencia Mestalla vs Cartagena CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
17.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1951 |
VAL
3 - 1
UDL
46%
22%
32%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1950 |
RCD
0 - 0
VAL
66%
18%
16%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
MLL
0 - 1
VAL
64%
19%
18%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1950 |
VAL
3 - 2
SDC
62%
18%
20%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
HER
4 - 1
VAL
66%
18%
16%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Cartagena CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
CAR
4 - 0
SLA
50%
22%
28%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1951 |
UDL
4 - 1
CAR
78%
13%
9%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
RCD
1 - 1
CAR
71%
16%
13%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
CAR
2 - 1
MLL
50%
22%
28%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
SDC
3 - 1
CAR
66%
17%
17%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |