Valencia Mestalla vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
15.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1965 |
ALG
2 - 2
VAL
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1965 |
VAL
1 - 0
CAD
72%
16%
11%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1965 |
VAL
0 - 2
VAD
61%
22%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
MEL
1 - 2
VAL
38%
26%
37%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
CDT
3 - 0
VAL
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1965 |
BAR
0 - 2
BUR
45%
25%
31%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
BUR
1 - 1
RAC
52%
24%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
SDI
2 - 1
BUR
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
LLE
3 - 3
BUR
36%
26%
39%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
BUR
2 - 1
RSO
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |