Valencia Mestalla vs CD Badajoz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.9%
Win probability
3.38
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.7%
4.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
MUR
0 - 2
VAL
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1965 |
VAL
2 - 1
RAY
75%
15%
10%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
CEU
2 - 2
VAL
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1965 |
VAL
0 - 0
LEV
45%
24%
31%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1965 |
PUE
3 - 1
VAL
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CD Badajoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
CDB
0 - 0
CAD
42%
23%
35%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
HER
3 - 0
CDB
86%
10%
5%
|
36 | 63 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
CDB
1 - 0
CDT
49%
25%
27%
|
35 | 59 | 24 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
CDB
1 - 2
MUR
30%
30%
40%
|
35 | 71 | 36 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1965 |
RAY
3 - 0
CDB
76%
15%
10%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |