Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 1-3
Valencia Mestalla vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
46.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
REC
5 - 1
VAL
44%
27%
30%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1966 |
VAL
0 - 3
GRA
71%
18%
12%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
CON
2 - 1
VAL
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1966 |
VAL
2 - 2
ALG
73%
17%
11%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
VAD
1 - 0
VAL
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
ESP
0 - 2
ATM
30%
28%
42%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
ATM
2 - 0
UDL
82%
12%
6%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
ATM
2 - 0
CCF
79%
14%
8%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
VCF
1 - 2
ATM
51%
24%
25%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
ATM
4 - 0
PON
82%
12%
6%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |