Segunda B Playouts Final
Global 4-2
Valencia Mestalla vs Algeciras CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
ALG
2 - 3
VAL
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
VAL
2 - 1
UES
43%
27%
30%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
RCD
4 - 2
VAL
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
VAL
2 - 2
PRA
42%
27%
31%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
LLE
1 - 0
VAL
70%
19%
11%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
ALG
2 - 3
VAL
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
ROD
0 - 0
ALG
55%
24%
21%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ALG
0 - 1
CAR
23%
27%
50%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SEV
1 - 1
ALG
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
ALG
1 - 2
GRA
36%
27%
38%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |