Valencia Mestalla vs Algeciras CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
LEV
1 - 0
VAL
68%
18%
14%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1966 |
VAL
2 - 1
CAD
70%
18%
13%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1966 |
EUR
1 - 2
VAL
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1966 |
VAL
0 - 2
MAL
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
VAL
1 - 2
SDI
72%
15%
12%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
ALG
1 - 1
MUR
45%
28%
26%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1966 |
CDC
1 - 0
ALG
58%
22%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1966 |
ALG
1 - 0
CAS
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1966 |
BAD
3 - 0
ALG
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
RSO
1 - 1
ALG
74%
15%
11%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |