Valencia Mestalla vs Alcoyano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
35.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1949 |
PUL
6 - 1
VAL
55%
21%
24%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1949 |
VAL
1 - 1
ELC
88%
8%
5%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1949 |
CAR
2 - 1
VAL
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
VAL
1 - 3
RSO
29%
22%
49%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
MUR
4 - 3
VAL
70%
17%
13%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
ALC
3 - 1
MLL
63%
19%
18%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
SLA
4 - 3
ALC
36%
25%
39%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1949 |
ALC
3 - 1
HER
51%
21%
28%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
ALC
2 - 2
RMA
28%
23%
49%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
OVI
1 - 1
ALC
72%
15%
13%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |