Valencia Mestalla vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.1%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
VAD
1 - 2
VAL
62%
22%
17%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
VAL
1 - 2
RCF
64%
20%
16%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
BET
3 - 4
VAL
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
VAL
3 - 3
OVI
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
RAY
4 - 0
VAL
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
ALA
1 - 1
BUR
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
VAD
4 - 0
ALA
80%
14%
6%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
ALA
0 - 1
CEL
26%
30%
44%
|
45 | 75 | 30 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
RCF
5 - 0
ALA
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
ALA
0 - 2
SEV
23%
28%
49%
|
46 | 77 | 31 | -1 |