Valencia Mestalla vs AD Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
17.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1951 |
LEV
0 - 2
VAL
59%
20%
21%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1951 |
VAL
2 - 1
MLL
56%
21%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
MEL
2 - 0
VAL
61%
20%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1951 |
VAL
2 - 0
MUR
53%
21%
26%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
RCD
3 - 0
VAL
64%
19%
17%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1951 |
PUL
1 - 0
ALC
54%
21%
25%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
CAR
2 - 3
PUL
57%
20%
23%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1951 |
PUL
2 - 3
MAL
35%
24%
41%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
BAL
2 - 2
PUL
66%
18%
16%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1951 |
PUL
0 - 0
ALI
81%
11%
8%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |