Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 6-2
Valencia Mestalla vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.5%
5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
ALC
1 - 0
VAL
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1970 |
VAL
3 - 0
PBL
84%
11%
5%
|
59 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1970 |
ACE
1 - 0
VAL
21%
26%
53%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1970 |
AGD
2 - 2
VAL
24%
24%
52%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
VAL
2 - 1
GAN
80%
13%
7%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
AGD
3 - 1
CDB
58%
23%
19%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1970 |
IMP
1 - 1
AGD
51%
25%
24%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1970 |
RJA
3 - 0
AGD
56%
24%
20%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 1970 |
AGD
2 - 2
VAL
24%
24%
52%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
AGD
4 - 1
BAL
58%
24%
18%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |