Valencia FC vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
57.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1972 |
VAL
1 - 1
MIR
21%
25%
54%
|
31 | 63 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1970 |
PEÑ
11 - 2
VAL
87%
9%
5%
|
31 | 84 | 53 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1970 |
NAC
1 - 0
VAL
85%
10%
5%
|
31 | 83 | 52 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1970 |
VAL
3 - 1
GAL
21%
24%
55%
|
28 | 61 | 33 | +3 |
| 25 Feb. 1970 |
VAL
2 - 5
NAC
17%
20%
63%
|
29 | 83 | 54 | -1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1972 |
MIR
0 - 1
PEÑ
33%
28%
40%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1971 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
NAC
67%
18%
15%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1971 |
PEÑ
9 - 0
STR
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1971 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
CHA
85%
10%
5%
|
83 | 12 | 71 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1971 |
CHA
1 - 1
PEÑ
19%
22%
59%
|
83 | 11 | 72 | 0 |