Valencia FC vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
57.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
GAL
0 - 2
VAL
85%
11%
4%
|
26 | 63 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
NAC
1 - 1
PEÑ
57%
22%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
NAC
0 - 0
PEÑ
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1969 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
NAC
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1969 |
NAC
2 - 0
PEÑ
59%
21%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1969 |
OLI
0 - 1
PEÑ
58%
21%
21%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |