Valencia FC vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
63.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
VAL
0 - 0
PEÑ
21%
22%
57%
|
28 | 84 | 56 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
GAL
0 - 2
VAL
85%
11%
4%
|
26 | 63 | 37 | +2 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1970 |
GAL
0 - 4
NAC
16%
20%
64%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
NAC
1 - 1
PEÑ
57%
22%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1969 |
EST
2 - 0
NAC
65%
19%
17%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1969 |
NAC
0 - 1
EST
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
NAC
0 - 0
PEÑ
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |