Valencia vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
FCP
1 - 2
VCF
27%
25%
48%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
VCF
1 - 3
ZAR
76%
16%
8%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
ZAR
0 - 1
VCF
17%
23%
60%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
VCF
0 - 1
ALB
79%
15%
6%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2004 |
VCF
2 - 0
MAR
78%
15%
7%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
ATM
2 - 0
VIL
45%
26%
29%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2004 |
VIL
2 - 0
ATM
47%
26%
27%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2004 |
HSV
0 - 1
VIL
42%
27%
32%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2004 |
VIL
1 - 0
HSV
52%
25%
24%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2004 |
SPA
2 - 2
VIL
35%
27%
38%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |