Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 3-2
Valencia vs Shamrock Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
6.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
OVI
1 - 4
VCF
40%
27%
33%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1963 |
VCF
5 - 3
LEV
81%
12%
7%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
SEV
3 - 0
VCF
51%
24%
26%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1963 |
SHR
0 - 1
VCF
43%
25%
32%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 1963 |
VCF
2 - 0
DZG
73%
15%
12%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Shamrock Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1963 |
SHR
0 - 1
VCF
43%
25%
32%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1962 |
BOT
1 - 0
SHR
56%
20%
25%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1962 |
SHR
0 - 4
BOT
56%
20%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1959 |
SHR
1 - 1
NIC
44%
22%
33%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1959 |
NIC
3 - 2
SHR
78%
13%
9%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |