Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 9-3
Valencia vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
22.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1941 |
VCF
3 - 1
ATH
46%
22%
32%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
ATH
2 - 1
VCF
77%
12%
11%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1941 |
VCF
2 - 0
ATM
54%
20%
26%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1941 |
VCF
3 - 0
ATH
43%
22%
36%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1941 |
VCF
4 - 0
FCB
53%
20%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1941 |
SEV
5 - 1
CAS
86%
9%
5%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
CAS
1 - 2
SEV
31%
22%
47%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
SEV
3 - 1
ESP
63%
17%
19%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
ATH
2 - 1
SEV
78%
13%
10%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
ATM
3 - 1
SEV
63%
18%
19%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |