Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 8-2
Valencia vs CE Sabadell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.3%
Win probability
3.46
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.7%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.7%
5.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1944 |
SAB
1 - 2
VCF
34%
22%
44%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1944 |
DEP
2 - 4
VCF
31%
22%
47%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1944 |
VCF
2 - 0
DEP
85%
9%
5%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1944 |
VCF
5 - 0
ZAR
86%
9%
5%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
ZAR
3 - 2
VCF
32%
22%
45%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
CE Sabadell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1944 |
SAB
1 - 2
VCF
34%
22%
44%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1944 |
SAB
3 - 2
CAS
51%
21%
28%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1944 |
CAS
0 - 1
SAB
67%
18%
16%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1944 |
MLL
1 - 0
SAB
29%
23%
48%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
SAB
6 - 2
MLL
80%
12%
8%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |