Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 3-2
Valencia vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.7%
5.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1983 |
ATM
1 - 2
VCF
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1983 |
VCF
2 - 4
FCB
33%
26%
41%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1983 |
SLA
1 - 0
VCF
39%
28%
33%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1983 |
REC
0 - 1
VCF
21%
23%
56%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1983 |
VCF
1 - 3
ZAR
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1983 |
REC
2 - 2
RAC
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1983 |
ATB
1 - 1
REC
61%
23%
17%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1983 |
REC
0 - 0
FCB
48%
28%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1983 |
REC
0 - 1
VCF
21%
23%
56%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1983 |
GRA
0 - 0
REC
46%
29%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |