Valencia vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
BUR
1 - 1
VCF
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
VCF
4 - 1
CSK
67%
18%
15%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
VCF
0 - 0
ATH
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
UDL
2 - 0
VCF
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
CSK
2 - 1
VCF
56%
21%
23%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
REC
1 - 0
ARC
85%
11%
5%
|
68 | 35 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
REC
2 - 1
RAC
47%
25%
27%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
SEV
6 - 1
REC
63%
23%
14%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
ARC
1 - 1
REC
28%
29%
43%
|
68 | 35 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1978 |
REC
0 - 0
RAY
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |