Supercopa Final
Global 2-3
Valencia vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
ZAR
0 - 1
VCF
17%
23%
60%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
VCF
0 - 1
ALB
79%
15%
6%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2004 |
VCF
2 - 0
MAR
78%
15%
7%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2004 |
VIL
2 - 1
VCF
27%
28%
45%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
SEV
0 - 2
VCF
31%
28%
41%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
ZAR
0 - 1
VCF
17%
23%
60%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
ZAR
2 - 1
FCB
28%
26%
45%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
ATM
1 - 2
ZAR
52%
25%
24%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
ZAR
1 - 0
OSA
56%
25%
19%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
ALB
3 - 1
ZAR
32%
28%
40%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |