Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 3-1
Valencia vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
9.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1959 |
ZAR
0 - 2
VCF
51%
22%
27%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1959 |
CCF
2 - 3
VCF
36%
24%
40%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
VCF
4 - 0
CCF
83%
11%
6%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
ZAR
6 - 1
VCF
40%
25%
35%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
VCF
2 - 0
BET
74%
15%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1959 |
ZAR
0 - 2
VCF
51%
22%
27%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1959 |
LEV
3 - 1
ZAR
41%
23%
36%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
ZAR
3 - 0
LEV
81%
12%
8%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
ZAR
6 - 1
VCF
40%
25%
35%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
OVI
4 - 1
ZAR
54%
22%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |