Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 4-3
Valencia vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.5%
Win probability
3.55
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.5%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.6%
4.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1943 |
ZAR
2 - 4
VCF
29%
22%
49%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1943 |
VCF
2 - 0
ALC
90%
7%
3%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
ALC
2 - 1
VCF
21%
20%
59%
|
85 | 50 | 35 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
VCF
3 - 3
RMA
63%
18%
19%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1943 |
CEL
2 - 0
VCF
49%
21%
30%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1943 |
ZAR
2 - 4
VCF
29%
22%
49%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1943 |
ZAR
1 - 1
ALA
72%
16%
13%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
ALA
2 - 3
ZAR
46%
23%
31%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
ATH
2 - 0
ZAR
87%
8%
4%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1943 |
ZAR
1 - 3
OVI
32%
21%
47%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |