Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 2-3
Valencia vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.1%
8.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1948 |
RSO
3 - 2
VCF
42%
23%
35%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1948 |
VAD
0 - 1
VCF
37%
23%
40%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1948 |
VCF
6 - 0
VAD
83%
10%
7%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
CEL
5 - 2
VCF
54%
21%
25%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
VCF
1 - 3
FCB
63%
18%
19%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1948 |
RSO
3 - 2
VCF
42%
23%
35%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1948 |
RSO
3 - 2
GIM
58%
20%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1948 |
GIM
2 - 3
RSO
64%
18%
18%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1948 |
RSO
2 - 0
SAB
60%
20%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
ATZ
0 - 3
RSO
23%
21%
55%
|
73 | 39 | 34 | 0 |