Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 5-3
Valencia vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
25.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1934 |
VCF
3 - 0
HER
77%
14%
10%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1934 |
HER
2 - 1
VCF
33%
22%
45%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1934 |
VCF
6 - 2
MUR
68%
17%
15%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1934 |
MUR
1 - 3
VCF
49%
20%
31%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1934 |
RAC
6 - 2
VCF
62%
18%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1934 |
ESP
5 - 3
OVI
62%
18%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1934 |
OVI
5 - 2
ESP
60%
18%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1934 |
RSO
0 - 2
OVI
65%
17%
18%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1934 |
OVI
4 - 0
RSO
61%
18%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1934 |
OVI
3 - 2
RSO
52%
20%
28%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |