Valencia vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
5.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1964 |
UJP
3 - 1
VCF
53%
23%
24%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
PON
0 - 1
VCF
28%
28%
45%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
VCF
6 - 0
VAD
77%
14%
9%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1964 |
VCF
4 - 0
BET
63%
20%
18%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
ESP
2 - 1
VCF
34%
28%
38%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
MUR
2 - 3
BET
32%
27%
41%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
ESP
2 - 1
MUR
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1964 |
MUR
1 - 1
CCF
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
RMA
4 - 1
MUR
91%
6%
2%
|
72 | 94 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
MUR
2 - 2
ELC
33%
25%
43%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |