Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-1
Valencia vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
6.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
GRA
1 - 0
VCF
41%
25%
33%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
VCF
1 - 0
VAD
63%
20%
18%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
FCB
2 - 1
VCF
91%
6%
3%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
VCF
1 - 1
OVI
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
SEV
1 - 1
VCF
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
MUR
2 - 0
CAD
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
RAY
4 - 2
MUR
50%
26%
25%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
MUR
0 - 0
CAA
72%
17%
12%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
MUR
2 - 0
CDT
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
REC
4 - 1
MUR
51%
23%
26%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -2 |