Valencia vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.1%
6.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1946 |
OVI
4 - 1
VCF
51%
22%
27%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1946 |
VCF
0 - 2
ATM
67%
17%
17%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1946 |
DEP
0 - 0
VCF
33%
26%
42%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1946 |
FCB
2 - 1
VCF
59%
20%
21%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1946 |
VCF
4 - 1
SEV
67%
17%
16%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1946 |
MUR
0 - 1
FCB
30%
24%
46%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1946 |
SEV
1 - 1
MUR
85%
10%
6%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1946 |
MUR
0 - 2
CEL
49%
21%
30%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1946 |
SAB
1 - 1
MUR
60%
20%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1946 |
MUR
5 - 4
SPO
48%
22%
30%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |