Valencia vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
8.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1940 |
CEL
6 - 2
VCF
49%
19%
32%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1940 |
VCF
5 - 1
OVI
50%
21%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1940 |
ESP
2 - 1
VCF
63%
18%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1940 |
VCF
3 - 1
ATM
53%
21%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1940 |
HER
0 - 2
VCF
54%
20%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1940 |
MUR
1 - 3
FCB
21%
19%
61%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1940 |
ATH
6 - 1
MUR
88%
8%
5%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1940 |
MUR
3 - 1
RMA
25%
23%
51%
|
59 | 89 | 30 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 1940 |
MUR
2 - 1
SEV
19%
19%
62%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1940 |
CEL
5 - 1
MUR
85%
9%
6%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |