Valencia vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
14.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1930 |
SEV
4 - 0
VCF
53%
20%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1930 |
VCF
3 - 1
ISC
61%
19%
20%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1930 |
OVI
5 - 0
VCF
45%
22%
33%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1930 |
VCF
1 - 1
ALA
60%
20%
20%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1930 |
VCF
2 - 2
DEP
58%
19%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1930 |
MUR
3 - 0
SPO
49%
22%
29%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1930 |
MUR
2 - 1
SEV
40%
23%
37%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1930 |
BET
2 - 1
MUR
68%
17%
15%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1930 |
MUR
6 - 2
DEP
52%
22%
27%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 1930 |
ALA
5 - 0
MUR
67%
18%
16%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |