Valencia vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
10%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1927 |
VCF
2 - 0
FCB
37%
23%
40%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1927 |
MUR
2 - 1
VCF
32%
24%
44%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1926 |
VCF
10 - 0
ISC
69%
17%
14%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1926 |
ESP
2 - 0
VCF
54%
22%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1926 |
ISC
3 - 1
VCF
34%
24%
42%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1927 |
FCB
5 - 0
MUR
83%
11%
6%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1927 |
MUR
2 - 1
VCF
32%
24%
44%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1926 |
MUR
1 - 2
RMA
28%
24%
49%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1926 |
SEV
3 - 0
MUR
69%
17%
14%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1926 |
RMA
6 - 2
MUR
76%
14%
10%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |