Valencia vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
39%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
SEV
3 - 0
VCF
57%
24%
20%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2007 |
RBK
2 - 0
VCF
31%
27%
43%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
DEP
2 - 4
VCF
32%
29%
40%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
VCF
1 - 2
ESP
61%
22%
17%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2007 |
VCF
1 - 2
CHL
40%
27%
33%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
RMA
3 - 1
DEP
76%
16%
8%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2007 |
RMA
4 - 2
OLP
80%
13%
6%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
ESP
2 - 1
RMA
30%
25%
45%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
RMA
2 - 0
REC
77%
15%
8%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2007 |
LAZ
2 - 2
RMA
23%
25%
52%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |