Valencia vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
49.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
BET
2 - 0
VCF
47%
23%
30%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1962 |
CEL
2 - 2
VCF
44%
24%
32%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
VCF
2 - 0
ATH
63%
20%
18%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1962 |
MLL
0 - 2
VCF
31%
25%
43%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
VCF
4 - 1
OSA
76%
14%
10%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
RMA
2 - 1
OVI
90%
7%
3%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
VAD
4 - 2
RMA
17%
22%
62%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1962 |
RMA
6 - 1
ELC
90%
7%
3%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
MAL
0 - 4
RMA
12%
20%
67%
|
93 | 67 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
RMA
2 - 0
FCB
73%
15%
12%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |