Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 3-8
Valencia vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
6%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.6%
13.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
RMA
3 - 2
VCF
58%
19%
24%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
VCF
0 - 1
CEL
75%
14%
11%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
RAC
0 - 2
VCF
40%
22%
38%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
VCF
4 - 1
VAD
79%
12%
9%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
MUR
2 - 4
VCF
28%
23%
49%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
RMA
3 - 2
VCF
58%
19%
24%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
RMA
1 - 1
MAL
73%
15%
12%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
CEL
2 - 2
RMA
57%
19%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
RMA
0 - 1
RAC
74%
14%
12%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
VAD
0 - 1
RMA
44%
22%
34%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |