Valencia vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
15.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
OVI
2 - 1
VCF
47%
23%
30%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1948 |
VCF
4 - 1
ESP
73%
15%
12%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1948 |
RMA
3 - 1
VCF
53%
21%
26%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1948 |
VCF
0 - 0
RSO
79%
12%
9%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1948 |
RSO
3 - 2
VCF
42%
23%
35%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
RMA
1 - 2
FCB
49%
22%
29%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1948 |
SAB
1 - 2
RMA
41%
23%
36%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1948 |
RMA
3 - 1
VCF
53%
21%
26%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1948 |
RMA
0 - 1
ESP
71%
16%
14%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1948 |
ESP
2 - 1
RMA
52%
21%
28%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |