Valencia vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.4%
19.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1943 |
CEL
2 - 0
VCF
49%
21%
30%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1943 |
GRA
4 - 2
VCF
37%
23%
40%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
VCF
1 - 2
CAS
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1943 |
SEV
3 - 1
VCF
54%
20%
26%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1943 |
VCF
8 - 3
BET
82%
11%
7%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1943 |
RMA
2 - 2
GRA
74%
15%
11%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1943 |
SEV
3 - 0
RMA
57%
20%
23%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1943 |
RMA
2 - 0
ATH
57%
20%
23%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1943 |
OVI
3 - 4
RMA
50%
21%
29%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1943 |
RMA
7 - 0
ESP
67%
17%
16%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |