Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 2-6
Valencia vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
39.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1933 |
RMA
3 - 1
VCF
76%
14%
11%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1933 |
VCF
4 - 1
BET
58%
20%
23%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 May. 1933 |
VCF
2 - 1
ATM
61%
18%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1933 |
VCF
1 - 2
ATM
63%
18%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1933 |
ATM
3 - 4
VCF
56%
20%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1933 |
RMA
3 - 1
VCF
76%
14%
11%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1933 |
SPO
0 - 5
RMA
36%
23%
42%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1933 |
RMA
8 - 0
SPO
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1933 |
RMA
9 - 0
RUN
75%
14%
11%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1933 |
RUN
0 - 2
RMA
42%
22%
36%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |