Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 4-5
Valencia vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
45.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1930 |
SEV
3 - 2
VCF
54%
21%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1930 |
VCF
5 - 1
SEV
54%
21%
25%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
VCF
5 - 1
CEL
58%
20%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1930 |
CEL
2 - 0
VCF
52%
21%
27%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1930 |
SPO
2 - 1
VCF
51%
21%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1930 |
ARE
0 - 2
RMA
45%
22%
33%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1930 |
RMA
2 - 0
ARE
71%
16%
13%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1930 |
RMA
6 - 1
PAT
88%
8%
4%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
RMA
1 - 1
PAT
88%
8%
4%
|
84 | 47 | 37 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1930 |
PAT
1 - 1
RMA
17%
20%
63%
|
84 | 46 | 38 | 0 |