Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Valencia vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
25.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1928 |
RMA
2 - 2
VCF
65%
18%
17%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1928 |
SEV
7 - 2
VCF
46%
23%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1928 |
BET
0 - 1
VCF
52%
22%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1928 |
VCF
4 - 2
LEV
83%
11%
6%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1928 |
VCF
3 - 1
MUR
74%
15%
11%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1928 |
RMA
2 - 2
VCF
65%
18%
17%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1928 |
ALA
0 - 1
RMA
37%
23%
40%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1928 |
ATH
3 - 1
RMA
65%
18%
17%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1928 |
RMA
3 - 0
ATM
60%
19%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1928 |
RMA
3 - 2
RAC
74%
14%
12%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |