Valencia vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
9.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
ATM
1 - 0
VCF
71%
15%
14%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
VCF
0 - 0
VAD
72%
15%
12%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
OSA
2 - 0
VCF
40%
23%
37%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
VCF
2 - 0
SEV
55%
20%
26%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
ESP
3 - 0
VCF
52%
22%
27%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
RJA
3 - 0
RSO
50%
23%
27%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
FCB
4 - 2
RJA
88%
8%
4%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
RJA
4 - 2
ATH
21%
22%
57%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
DEP
3 - 1
RJA
65%
18%
17%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
RJA
0 - 0
UDL
50%
22%
28%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |