Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 4-1
Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.5%
5.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
VCF
0 - 1
DEP
75%
17%
8%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1973 |
ZAR
0 - 1
VCF
44%
27%
29%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1973 |
RAY
0 - 1
VCF
21%
24%
55%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
VCF
0 - 0
GRA
71%
18%
10%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1973 |
FCB
0 - 0
VCF
61%
23%
16%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
CUL
3 - 1
RAY
61%
23%
17%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
BAR
2 - 2
RAY
58%
25%
17%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1973 |
RAY
4 - 0
GIM
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 1973 |
RAY
0 - 1
VCF
21%
24%
55%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
PON
2 - 1
RAY
51%
28%
21%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |