Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 2-5
Valencia vs Racing Club Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
9.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1928 |
VCF
4 - 3
EUR
80%
12%
8%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1928 |
VCF
2 - 1
EUR
80%
12%
8%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1928 |
EUR
3 - 2
VCF
28%
23%
49%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1928 |
VCF
3 - 2
RSO
54%
21%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1928 |
RSO
7 - 0
VCF
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Racing Club Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1928 |
RCM
3 - 0
ISC
58%
20%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1928 |
ISC
2 - 0
RCM
51%
22%
27%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1919 |
ARE
3 - 0
RCM
37%
23%
40%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 1919 |
RCM
2 - 0
ARE
78%
14%
9%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1919 |
ARE
8 - 2
RCM
32%
24%
44%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | -2 |