Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 5-3
Valencia vs Monaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1980 |
VCF
3 - 1
BET
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1980 |
VCF
3 - 2
RSO
57%
24%
20%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
BET
3 - 0
VCF
44%
27%
29%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1980 |
VCF
0 - 0
ARS
60%
21%
20%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1980 |
VCF
3 - 0
ZAR
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1980 |
MET
1 - 1
MON
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1980 |
AUX
0 - 0
MON
33%
23%
44%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1980 |
MON
5 - 1
VAL
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1980 |
STR
0 - 0
MON
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1980 |
MON
4 - 0
PSG
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |