Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 6-4
Valencia vs Mallorca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1971 |
MLL
1 - 1
VCF
32%
27%
41%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
ESP
1 - 0
VCF
42%
28%
30%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1971 |
VCF
3 - 0
ELC
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1971 |
SAB
0 - 1
VCF
41%
28%
32%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
VCF
2 - 1
CEL
68%
20%
12%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mallorca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1971 |
MLL
1 - 1
VCF
32%
27%
41%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1971 |
MLL
1 - 0
OVI
69%
20%
11%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1971 |
VIL
1 - 0
MLL
28%
31%
42%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1971 |
LOG
0 - 0
MLL
31%
30%
39%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
MLL
1 - 1
RAY
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |