Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 6-1
Valencia vs Mallorca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1962 |
MLL
0 - 2
VCF
46%
24%
30%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
RMA
4 - 1
VCF
87%
9%
4%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
VCF
2 - 2
ATH
51%
23%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1962 |
INT
3 - 3
VCF
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1962 |
FCB
4 - 0
VCF
86%
9%
5%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mallorca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1962 |
MLL
0 - 2
VCF
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
OVI
1 - 0
MLL
55%
24%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
MLL
1 - 0
ZAR
38%
24%
38%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
RMA
2 - 0
MLL
92%
6%
2%
|
74 | 93 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
MLL
1 - 3
ATH
35%
25%
40%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |