Valencia vs Málaga analysis

Valencia Málaga
88 ELO 85
10.6% Tilt -9.4%
96º General ELO ranking 1027º
11º Country ELO ranking 44º
ELO win probability
63.5%
Valencia
20.3%
Draw
16.2%
Málaga

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
Valencia
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
16.2%
Win probability
Málaga
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Valencia
-6%
+8%
Málaga

ELO progression

Valencia
Málaga
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Valencia
Valencia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Aug. 2014
SEV
Sevilla
1 - 1
Valencia
VCF
57%
23%
21%
88 88 0 0
17 Aug. 2014
VCF
Valencia
2 - 1
Milan
ACM
49%
24%
28%
88 88 0 0
12 Aug. 2014
MUD
Manchester United
2 - 1
Valencia
VCF
67%
20%
13%
88 92 4 0
03 Aug. 2014
SLB
Benfica
1 - 3
Valencia
VCF
52%
24%
23%
88 88 0 0
02 Aug. 2014
VCF
Valencia
2 - 2
Monaco
MON
67%
19%
14%
88 83 5 0

Matches

Málaga
Málaga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Aug. 2014
MAL
Málaga
1 - 0
Athletic
ATH
42%
26%
32%
85 87 2 0
10 Aug. 2014
MAL
Málaga
0 - 2
Fiorentina
FIO
44%
26%
30%
85 87 2 0
06 Aug. 2014
MAL
Málaga
4 - 1
Catar
QAT
65%
21%
14%
85 78 7 0
03 Aug. 2014
WHU
West Ham
0 - 2
Málaga
MAL
42%
25%
33%
85 81 4 0
02 Aug. 2014
MAL
Málaga
3 - 1
Newcastle
NEW
53%
24%
23%
85 82 3 0
X