Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 4-0
Valencia vs Levante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.1%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
+5
8.9%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.1%
2.7%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1999 |
ATM
1 - 2
VCF
62%
20%
18%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
MLL
0 - 1
VCF
42%
26%
32%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1999 |
LEV
0 - 3
VCF
16%
22%
62%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
VCF
1 - 1
CDT
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1999 |
OVI
2 - 2
VCF
28%
27%
45%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Levante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1999 |
LEV
2 - 0
FIG
61%
23%
15%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1999 |
BEN
0 - 0
LEV
23%
29%
48%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1999 |
LEV
0 - 3
VCF
16%
22%
62%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
LEV
2 - 0
MUR
64%
23%
14%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1999 |
LEV
0 - 0
UDL
29%
27%
44%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |