Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 2-5
Valencia vs Levante FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.3%
Win probability
3.44
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.9%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.8%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.3%
5.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1935 |
LEV
4 - 1
VCF
23%
20%
57%
|
77 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1935 |
HER
2 - 1
VCF
38%
21%
41%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1935 |
VCF
3 - 1
HER
74%
14%
11%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1935 |
VCF
9 - 3
GIM
87%
9%
5%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1935 |
GIM
2 - 5
VCF
20%
19%
61%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Levante FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1935 |
LEV
4 - 1
VCF
23%
20%
57%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1935 |
MUR
2 - 2
LEV
86%
9%
5%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1935 |
LEV
5 - 0
GIM
70%
16%
14%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1935 |
GRA
5 - 0
LEV
74%
15%
11%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1935 |
LEV
3 - 1
HER
35%
24%
41%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | +2 |