Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 5-3
Valencia vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
32.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
FCB
3 - 0
VCF
72%
17%
12%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
VCF
1 - 0
MLL
66%
20%
14%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2000 |
VCF
0 - 0
MUD
33%
24%
43%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
VCF
2 - 2
MAL
75%
16%
9%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2000 |
GIR
1 - 4
VCF
45%
27%
28%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
JUV
0 - 1
LAZ
48%
25%
26%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
LAZ
2 - 1
ROM
67%
18%
14%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2000 |
CHL
1 - 2
LAZ
30%
26%
44%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
VER
1 - 0
LAZ
20%
26%
55%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2000 |
LAZ
5 - 1
MAR
75%
16%
9%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | +1 |