Valencia vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
24.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1939 |
FCB
4 - 1
VCF
69%
17%
15%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1939 |
VCF
0 - 0
ZAR
73%
15%
13%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1939 |
BET
0 - 3
VCF
53%
21%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1936 |
ESP
3 - 2
VCF
61%
18%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1936 |
VCF
4 - 3
ESP
51%
20%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1939 |
HER
6 - 1
CEL
62%
18%
20%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1939 |
ESP
3 - 3
HER
64%
18%
18%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1939 |
HER
3 - 1
RAC
46%
21%
34%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 1936 |
HER
2 - 1
RMA
30%
23%
47%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | +2 |
| 07 Jun. 1936 |
RMA
7 - 0
HER
83%
11%
7%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | -1 |