Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 4-3
Valencia vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
11.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1935 |
VCF
9 - 3
GIM
87%
9%
5%
|
77 | 43 | 34 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1935 |
GIM
2 - 5
VCF
20%
19%
61%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1935 |
VCF
1 - 1
FCB
42%
21%
37%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1935 |
OVI
4 - 4
VCF
67%
16%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1935 |
RMA
3 - 0
VCF
74%
14%
12%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1935 |
HER
1 - 0
MUR
59%
19%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1935 |
MUR
2 - 3
HER
63%
18%
19%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1935 |
HER
1 - 0
CEL
55%
20%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1935 |
VAD
1 - 3
HER
51%
22%
28%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1935 |
SAB
1 - 0
HER
51%
21%
28%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |